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Sportivo Huracan vs Paysandu Prediction— Uruguay - Segunda División

2nd Phase · Matchday 14 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 19:00

Sportivo Huracan

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Paysandu

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.30, combined xG 2.27 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.4%0-110.2%0-25.0%0-31.7%0-4+0.5%1 1-013.3%1-113.1%1-26.4%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.5%2-18.4%2-24.1%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.6%3-13.6%3-21.8%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.5%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.0% — — —

Draw 26.9% — — —

Away win 31.1% — — —

Over 2.5 49.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 37.9% — — —

Away O1.5 27.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 23%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob53.1%

H 42% / xG 1.3-1.0 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 10.4%

#3 1–0 13.3%

#4 2–0 8.5%

#5 2–1 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sportivo Huracan1.3

Paysandu1.0

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SPORTIVO HURACAN · PPG 1.33

PAYSANDU · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.30, combined xG 2.27 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sportivo Huracan (H) 42.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Paysandu (A) 31.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sportivo Huracan face Paysandu in Uruguay - Segunda División on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sportivo Huracan a 42% chance, the draw 27% and Paysandu 31%, so Sportivo Huracan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Sportivo Huracan and 1.0 for Paysandu (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sportivo Huracan are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.00 for Paysandu.

Sportivo Huracan vs Paysandu Prediction— Uruguay - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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