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Sandviken vs IFK Norrkoping Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Matchday 19 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 15:00

Sandviken

PPG 1.89 · HOME

UPCOMING

IFK Norrkoping

PPG 2.11 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.5% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.4%0-112.7%0-28.7%0-33.9%0-4+1.8%1 1-09.4%1-112.8%1-28.7%1-34.0%1-4+1.8%2 2-04.7%2-16.5%2-24.4%2-32.0%2-4+0.9%3 3-01.6%3-12.2%3-21.5%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.7%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.3% 27.8% 3.60 +19.9%

Draw 26.3% 26.7% 3.75 -0.8%

Away win 40.4% 52.6% 1.90 -23.2%

Over 2.5 50.7% 62.5% 1.60 -18.9%

Over 3.5 30.0% 40.8% 2.45 -26.5%

BTTS 53.5% 66.7% 1.50 -19.8%

Home O1.5 30.2% 40.8% 2.45 -26.0%

Away O1.5 42.6% 58.8% 1.70 -27.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 81 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -6.0%

Bet Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 21%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob53.5%

A 40% / xG 1.0-1.4 / U2.5 51% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 9.4%

#3 0–1 12.7%

#4 1–2 8.7%

#5 0–2 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sandviken1.0

IFK Norrkoping1.4

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.7% · O3.5 PROB 30.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SANDVIKEN · PPG 1.89

IFK NORRKOPING · PPG 2.11

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.36, combined xG 2.37 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sandviken (H) 33.3%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +19.9%

Draw 26.3%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -0.8%

IFK Norrkoping (A) 40.4%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -23.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sandviken face IFK Norrkoping in Sweden - Superettan on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sandviken a 33% chance, the draw 26% and IFK Norrkoping 40%, so IFK Norrkoping are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Sandviken and 1.4 for IFK Norrkoping (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sandviken are averaging 1.89 points per game versus 2.11 for IFK Norrkoping.

Sandviken vs IFK Norrkoping Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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