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Ljungskile SK vs Osters IF Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Matchday 19 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 11:00

Ljungskile SK

PPG 1.44 · HOME

UPCOMING

Osters IF

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 58.1% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-16.9%0-24.2%0-31.7%0-4+0.7%1 1-09.4%1-111.4%1-27.0%1-32.8%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.7%2-19.4%2-25.7%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-04.3%3-15.2%3-23.2%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-13.1%4+-21.9%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.6% 52.6% 1.90 -11.5%

Draw 24.3% 27.0% 3.70 -6.0%

Away win 29.1% 27.4% 3.65 +3.7%

Over 2.5 57.5% 65.4% 1.53 -12.0%

Over 3.5 34.2% 44.4% 2.25 -23.1%

BTTS 58.1% 69.4% 1.44 -16.3%

Home O1.5 47.3% 60.6% 1.65 -22.0%

Away O1.5 36.6% 42.6% 2.35 -14.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 81 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -6.0%

Bet Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 43%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob58.1%

H 47% / xG 1.6-1.2 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 2–0 7.7%

#4 1–0 9.4%

#5 0–0 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ljungskile SK1.6

Osters IF1.2

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.5% · O3.5 PROB 34.2%

Form & verdict PPG

LJUNGSKILE SK · PPG 1.44

OSTERS IF · PPG 0.88

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.43 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Ljungskile SK (H) 46.6%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -11.5%

Draw 24.3%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -6.0%

Osters IF (A) 29.1%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV +3.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ljungskile SK face Osters IF in Sweden - Superettan on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ljungskile SK a 47% chance, the draw 24% and Osters IF 29%, so Ljungskile SK are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Ljungskile SK and 1.2 for Osters IF (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ljungskile SK are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 0.88 for Osters IF.

Ljungskile SK vs Osters IF Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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