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T. de Cordoba vs D. Riestra Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina logo Argentina flag Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina Apertura - 15 Mario Alberto Kempes· Cordoba Sunday, April 19, 2026 23:30
T. de Cordoba logo T. de Cordoba PPG 1.67
2-0 HIT CS3
D. Riestra logo D. Riestra PPG 0.33
Home· +26.5% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

T. de Cordoba face D. Riestra in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives T. de Cordoba a 67% chance, the draw 30% and D. Riestra 4%, so T. de Cordoba are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for T. de Cordoba and 0.1 for D. Riestra (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 16% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 9% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, T. de Cordoba are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.33 for D. Riestra. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +26.5%. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 66.6%
Odds: 1.90 EV: +26.5%
Draw 29.6%
Odds: 2.94 EV: -13.0%
Away 3.8%
Odds: 4.90 EV: -81.4%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 15.9% Odds: 3.00 -52.3%
Over 3.5 5.0% Odds: 6.25 -68.8%
BTTS 8.6% Odds: 2.45 -78.9%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 2-0
4th 3-0
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

T. de Cordoba
1.24
D. Riestra
0.13

Model Suggestion

Home +26.5% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.67), Away POOR (0.33) - Strong consensus

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