Rosario Central vs Sarmiento Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

Rosario Central face Sarmiento in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rosario Central a 69% chance, the draw 21% and Sarmiento 10%, so Rosario Central are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Rosario Central and 0.5 for Sarmiento (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 33% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rosario Central are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.50 for Sarmiento. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +4.1%. This match finished 2-1.