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Våg vs Mandalskameratene Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 13:00

Våg

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Mandalskameratene

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.02 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-13.9%0-23.9%0-32.5%0-4+1.9%1 1-03.9%1-17.7%1-27.5%1-34.9%1-4+3.8%2 2-03.8%2-17.5%2-27.3%2-34.8%2-4+3.7%3 3-02.5%3-14.8%3-24.8%3-33.1%3-4+2.4%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-13.7%4+-23.6%4+-32.4%4+-4+1.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.7% — — —

Draw 22.1% — — —

Away win 34.2% — — —

Over 2.5 67.4% — — —

Over 3.5 47.2% — — —

BTTS 69.4% — — —

Home O1.5 54.6% — — —

Away O1.5 53.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 58%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob69.4%

A 34% / xG 1.9-2.0 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.7%

#2 1–2 7.5%

#3 2–1 7.5%

#4 2–2 7.3%

#5 1–3 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Våg1.9

Mandalskameratene2.0

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.4% · O3.5 PROB 47.2%

Form & verdict PPG

VÅG · PPG 1.50

MANDALSKAMERATENE · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.02 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Våg (H) 43.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Mandalskameratene (A) 34.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Våg face Mandalskameratene in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Våg a 44% chance, the draw 22% and Mandalskameratene 34%, so Våg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Våg and 2.0 for Mandalskameratene (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Våg are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.14 for Mandalskameratene.

Våg vs Mandalskameratene Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Match Preview & Prediction

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