Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 / Mandalskameratene vs Brodd

Mandalskameratene vs Brodd Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Matchday 15 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 13:00

Mandalskameratene

PPG 2.00 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Brodd

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.19 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-11.9%0-21.6%0-30.8%0-4+0.5%1 1-03.3%1-15.4%1-24.4%1-32.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-04.7%2-17.6%2-26.2%2-33.4%2-4+2.0%3 3-04.4%3-17.1%3-25.8%3-33.1%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-06.1%4+-19.9%4+-28.1%4+-34.4%4+-4+2.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.9% — — —

Draw 19.4% — — —

Away win 23.7% — — —

Over 2.5 73.0% — — —

Over 3.5 52.8% — — —

BTTS 69.6% — — —

Home O1.5 68.1% — — —

Away O1.5 48.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob69.6%

H 57% / xG 2.8-1.6 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1✓ 7.6%

#2 3–1 7.1%

#3 1–1 5.4%

#4 2–2 6.2%

#5 3–2 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mandalskameratene2.8

Brodd1.6

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.0% · O3.5 PROB 52.8%

Form & verdict PPG

MANDALSKAMERATENE · PPG 2.00

BRODD · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.19 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Mandalskameratene (H) 56.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Brodd (A) 23.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Mandalskameratene face Brodd in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mandalskameratene a 57% chance, the draw 19% and Brodd 24%, so Mandalskameratene are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Mandalskameratene and 1.6 for Brodd (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mandalskameratene are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.17 for Brodd. This match finished 2-1.

Mandalskameratene vs Brodd Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Match Preview & Prediction

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