Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 / Brodd vs Stabæk II

Brodd vs Stabæk II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Matchday 14 ·Monday, August 3, 2026, 16:00

Brodd

PPG 1.71 · HOME

UPCOMING

Stabæk II

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.40 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.6%0-11.1%0-21.0%0-30.6%0-4+0.5%1 1-01.8%1-13.5%1-23.3%1-32.1%1-4+1.5%2 2-03.0%2-15.8%2-25.4%2-33.4%2-4+2.5%3 3-03.3%3-16.3%3-26.0%3-33.8%3-4+2.7%4+ 4+-06.3%4+-111.9%4+-211.3%4+-37.1%4+-4+5.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.7% — — —

Draw 17.6% — — —

Away win 24.7% — — —

Over 2.5 74.9% — — —

Over 3.5 54.0% — — —

BTTS 70.3% — — —

Home O1.5 77.1% — — —

Away O1.5 50.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 30%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 71%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.3 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob70.3%

H 58% / xG 3.3-1.9 / O2.5 75% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 6.3%

#2 3–2 6.0%

#3 2–1 5.8%

#4 2–2 5.4%

#5 4–1 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brodd3.3

Stabæk II1.9

COMBINED 5.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 74.9% · O3.5 PROB 54.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BRODD · PPG 1.71

STABÆK II · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.40 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Brodd (H) 57.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Stabæk II (A) 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Brodd face Stabæk II in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 on Monday, August 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brodd a 58% chance, the draw 18% and Stabæk II 25%, so Brodd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.3 for Brodd and 1.9 for Stabæk II (5.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brodd are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.00 for Stabæk II.

Brodd vs Stabæk II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Match Preview & Prediction

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