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Karlslund vs Haninge Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Södra Svealand · Matchday 17 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 11:00

Karlslund

PPG 1.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

Haninge

PPG 1.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-16.0%0-25.5%0-33.3%0-4+2.3%1 1-05.2%1-19.5%1-28.7%1-35.3%1-4+3.7%2 2-04.1%2-17.6%2-26.9%2-34.2%2-4+2.9%3 3-02.2%3-14.0%3-23.7%3-32.3%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-12.3%4+-22.1%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.3% — — —

Draw 22.4% — — —

Away win 44.3% — — —

Over 2.5 64.1% — — —

Over 3.5 42.6% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 47.2% — — —

Away O1.5 52.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -19.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob63.1%

A 44% / xG 1.6-1.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.5%

#2 1–2 8.7%

#3 2–1 7.6%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 0–2 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Karlslund1.6

Haninge1.8

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 42.6%

Form & verdict PPG

KARLSLUND · PPG 1.25

HANINGE · PPG 1.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.24 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Karlslund (H) 33.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Haninge (A) 44.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Karlslund face Haninge in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Karlslund a 33% chance, the draw 22% and Haninge 44%, so Haninge are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Karlslund and 1.8 for Haninge (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Karlslund are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.88 for Haninge.

Karlslund vs Haninge Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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