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Sleipner vs Lindo FF Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Södra Svealand · Matchday 17 ·Thursday, August 13, 2026, 18:00

Sleipner

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Lindo FF

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-13.1%0-22.0%0-30.9%0-4+0.4%1 1-05.9%1-17.6%1-24.9%1-32.1%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.2%2-19.2%2-26.0%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-05.8%3-17.5%3-24.8%3-32.1%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-06.3%4+-18.1%4+-25.2%4+-32.2%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.4% — — —

Draw 21.5% — — —

Away win 23.1% — — —

Over 2.5 67.3% — — —

Over 3.5 45.1% — — —

BTTS 63.3% — — —

Home O1.5 63.0% — — —

Away O1.5 36.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -29.9%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob63.3%

H 55% / xG 2.4-1.3 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.2%

#2 1–1 7.6%

#3 3–1 7.5%

#4 2–0 7.2%

#5 2–2 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sleipner2.4

Lindo FF1.3

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 45.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SLEIPNER · PPG 2.00

LINDO FF · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.14 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Sleipner (H) 55.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lindo FF (A) 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sleipner face Lindo FF in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand on Thursday, August 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sleipner a 55% chance, the draw 22% and Lindo FF 23%, so Sleipner are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Sleipner and 1.3 for Lindo FF (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sleipner are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Lindo FF.

Sleipner vs Lindo FF Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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