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St. George City U20 vs Rockdale Ilinden U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Matchday 27 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 07:00

St. George City U20

PPG 1.07 · HOME

9 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Rockdale Ilinden U20

PPG 0.77 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-14.5%0-23.3%0-31.7%0-4+0.9%1 1-06.1%1-19.0%1-26.7%1-33.3%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.1%2-19.1%2-26.8%2-33.4%2-4+1.7%3 3-04.1%3-16.1%3-24.5%3-32.3%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-14.9%4+-23.6%4+-31.8%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.2% — — —

Draw 22.2% — — —

Away win 26.6% — — —

Over 2.5 65.2% — — —

Over 3.5 43.4% — — —

BTTS 64.3% — — —

Home O1.5 55.4% — — —

Away O1.5 46.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 35%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 9-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob64.3%

H 51% / xG 2.0-1.5 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.0%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 2–2 6.8%

#4 1–2 6.7%

#5 2–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

St. George City U202.0

Rockdale Ilinden U201.5

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.2% · O3.5 PROB 43.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ST. GEORGE CITY U20 · PPG 1.07

ROCKDALE ILINDEN U20 · PPG 0.77

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.53 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

St. George City U20 (H) 51.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Rockdale Ilinden U20 (A) 26.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

St. George City U20 face Rockdale Ilinden U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives St. George City U20 a 51% chance, the draw 22% and Rockdale Ilinden U20 27%, so St. George City U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for St. George City U20 and 1.5 for Rockdale Ilinden U20 (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, St. George City U20 are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 0.77 for Rockdale Ilinden U20. This match finished 9-1.

St. George City U20 vs Rockdale Ilinden U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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