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Manly Utd U20 vs Marconi S. U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Matchday 27 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 09:00

Manly Utd U20

PPG 2.23 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Marconi S. U20

PPG 1.46 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.30 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.3%0-18.5%0-24.9%0-31.9%0-4+0.7%1 1-010.7%1-112.3%1-27.1%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.8%2-19.0%2-25.2%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.8%3-14.4%3-22.5%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.2%4+-21.3%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.7% — — —

Draw 24.6% — — —

Away win 26.7% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 32.1% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 45.4% — — —

Away O1.5 35.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 35%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob54.6%

H 49% / xG 1.5-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 0–0✓ 7.3%

#3 2–1 9.0%

#4 1–0 10.7%

#5 2–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Manly Utd U201.5

Marconi S. U201.2

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.1%

Form & verdict PPG

MANLY UTD U20 · PPG 2.23

MARCONI S. U20 · PPG 1.46

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.30 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Manly Utd U20 (H) 48.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Marconi S. U20 (A) 26.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Manly Utd U20 face Marconi S. U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Manly Utd U20 a 49% chance, the draw 25% and Marconi S. U20 27%, so Manly Utd U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Manly Utd U20 and 1.2 for Marconi S. U20 (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Manly Utd U20 are averaging 2.23 points per game versus 1.46 for Marconi S. U20. This match finished 0-0.

Manly Utd U20 vs Marconi S. U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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