A. Petrolera face I. Medelin on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives A. Petrolera a 33% chance, the draw 27% and I. Medelin 40%, so I. Medelin are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for A. Petrolera and 1.3 for I. Medelin (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, A. Petrolera are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 1.13 for I. Medelin.
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.43) > Away AVERAGE (1.13)