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Tivoli Gardens vs Dunbeholden Prediction

League logo Jamaica flag Unknown League Regular Season - 35 Edward Seaga Sports Complex· Kingston Sunday, April 19, 2026
Tivoli Gardens logo Tivoli Gardens PPG 1.53
2-0 HIT CS5
Dunbeholden logo Dunbeholden PPG 1.06
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Tivoli Gardens face Dunbeholden on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tivoli Gardens a 43% chance, the draw 30% and Dunbeholden 27%, so Tivoli Gardens are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Tivoli Gardens and 0.9 for Dunbeholden (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tivoli Gardens are averaging 1.53 points per game versus 1.06 for Dunbeholden. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.3%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 29.5%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 27.3%
Odds: — EV: —
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.0% Odds: —
Over 3.5 16.1% Odds: —
BTTS 41.4% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 0-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Tivoli Gardens
1.21
Dunbeholden
0.89

Model Suggestion

No Bet MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.53) > Away AVERAGE (1.06)

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