Today / Molynes Utd vs Arnett Gardens

Molynes Utd vs Arnett Gardens Prediction

Sunday, April 19, 2026

Molynes Utd

PPG 0.94 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Arnett Gardens

PPG 1.35 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home weakness: POOR (0.94) vs Away AVERAGE (1.35)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.1%0-110.8%0-27.2%0-33.2%0-4+1.4%1 1-09.5%1-112.7%1-28.5%1-33.8%1-4+1.7%2 2-05.6%2-17.5%2-25.0%2-32.2%2-4+1.0%3 3-02.2%3-12.9%3-22.0%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.1%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.8% — — —

Draw 26.8% — — —

Away win 40.4% — — —

Over 2.5 46.0% — — —

Over 3.5 24.6% — — —

BTTS 51.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 18%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob51.1%

A 40% / xG 1.2-1.3 / O2.5 46% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 0–1 10.8%

#3 1–0 9.5%

#4 1–2 8.5%

#5 0–0 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Molynes Utd1.2

Arnett Gardens1.3

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.0% · O3.5 PROB 24.6%

Form & verdict PPG

MOLYNES UTD · PPG 0.94

ARNETT GARDENS · PPG 1.35

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.94) vs Away AVERAGE (1.35)

Win probability 1X2

Molynes Utd (H) 32.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Arnett Gardens (A) 40.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Molynes Utd face Arnett Gardens on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Molynes Utd a 33% chance, the draw 27% and Arnett Gardens 40%, so Arnett Gardens are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Molynes Utd and 1.3 for Arnett Gardens (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Molynes Utd are averaging 0.94 points per game versus 1.35 for Arnett Gardens. This match finished 3-0.

Molynes Utd vs Arnett Gardens Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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