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Haukar vs Hvíti riddarinn Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Matchday 17 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 18:00

Haukar

PPG 2.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

Hvíti riddarinn

PPG 0.62 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.56 for Home, form 2.75 vs 0.62 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.4%0-11.2%0-20.5%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-04.7%1-14.1%1-21.7%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-08.0%2-16.9%2-23.0%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.2%3-17.9%3-23.4%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-018.9%4+-116.3%4+-27.0%4+-32.0%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 76.5% — — —

Draw 15.8% — — —

Away win 7.7% — — —

Over 2.5 71.6% — — —

Over 3.5 47.2% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 80.3% — — —

Away O1.5 22.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -2.0%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.5%

H 76% / xG 3.4-0.9 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 9.2%

#2 2–0 8.0%

#3 3–1 7.9%

#4 4–0 7.9%

#5 2–1 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Haukar3.4

Hvíti riddarinn0.9

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.6% · O3.5 PROB 47.2%

Form & verdict PPG

HAUKAR · PPG 2.75

HVÍTI RIDDARINN · PPG 0.62

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.56 for Home, form 2.75 vs 0.62 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Haukar (H) 76.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hvíti riddarinn (A) 7.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Haukar face Hvíti riddarinn in Iceland - 2. Deild on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Haukar a 77% chance, the draw 16% and Hvíti riddarinn 8%, so Haukar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.4 for Haukar and 0.9 for Hvíti riddarinn (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Haukar are averaging 2.75 points per game versus 0.62 for Hvíti riddarinn.

Haukar vs Hvíti riddarinn Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

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