River Plate PPG 2.40
Boca Juniors PPG 1.40River Plate face Boca Juniors in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives River Plate a 60% chance, the draw 26% and Boca Juniors 14%, so River Plate are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for River Plate and 0.6 for Boca Juniors (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 34% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, River Plate are averaging 2.40 points per game versus 1.40 for Boca Juniors. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +33.6%. This match finished 0-1.
Based on 29 resolved predictions
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs P(Home)=60.2%