Today / Australia - Victoria NPL 2 / Bulleen Lions vs Langwarrin

Bulleen Lions vs Langwarrin Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Regular Season - 22 ·Monday, July 27, 2026, 10:30

Bulleen Lions

PPG 1.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

Langwarrin

PPG 0.90 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-14.0%0-22.3%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-07.8%1-18.8%1-25.0%1-31.9%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.6%2-19.8%2-25.6%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.3%3-17.2%3-24.1%3-31.6%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-05.9%4+-16.7%4+-23.8%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.2% — — —

Draw 22.2% — — —

Away win 23.6% — — —

Over 2.5 63.7% — — —

Over 3.5 40.0% — — —

BTTS 60.1% — — —

Home O1.5 61.8% — — —

Away O1.5 36.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 42%

ROI -14.3%

Bet Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob60.1%

H 54% / xG 2.2-1.1 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.8%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.6%

#4 3–1 7.2%

#5 1–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bulleen Lions2.2

Langwarrin1.1

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 40.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BULLEEN LIONS · PPG 1.40

LANGWARRIN · PPG 0.90

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.08 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Bulleen Lions (H) 54.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Langwarrin (A) 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bulleen Lions face Langwarrin in Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on Monday, July 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bulleen Lions a 54% chance, the draw 22% and Langwarrin 24%, so Bulleen Lions are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Bulleen Lions and 1.1 for Langwarrin (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bulleen Lions are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.90 for Langwarrin.

Bulleen Lions vs Langwarrin Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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