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Bhawanipore vs East Bengal Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Regular season ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 09:30

Bhawanipore

PPG 1.69 · HOME

UPCOMING

East Bengal

PPG 2.18 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.19 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-18.7%0-26.7%0-33.4%0-4+1.8%1 1-07.7%1-111.7%1-28.9%1-34.5%1-4+2.4%2 2-05.1%2-17.8%2-25.9%2-33.0%2-4+1.6%3 3-02.3%3-13.5%3-22.6%3-31.3%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.6%4+-21.2%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.6% — — —

Draw 23.1% — — —

Away win 45.3% — — —

Over 2.5 61.5% — — —

Over 3.5 38.8% — — —

BTTS 61.6% — — —

Home O1.5 37.9% — — —

Away O1.5 47.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob61.6%

A 45% / xG 1.3-1.5 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 1–2 8.9%

#3 2–1 7.8%

#4 0–0 5.7%

#5 0–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bhawanipore1.3

East Bengal1.5

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.5% · O3.5 PROB 38.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BHAWANIPORE · PPG 1.69

EAST BENGAL · PPG 2.18

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.19 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Bhawanipore (H) 31.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

East Bengal (A) 45.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bhawanipore face East Bengal in India - Calcutta Premier Division on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bhawanipore a 32% chance, the draw 23% and East Bengal 45%, so East Bengal are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Bhawanipore and 1.5 for East Bengal (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bhawanipore are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 2.18 for East Bengal.

Bhawanipore vs East Bengal Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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