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Calcutta Customs vs Railway Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Regular season ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 09:30

Calcutta Customs

PPG 1.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

Railway

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.94 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.1%0-15.7%0-22.6%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-011.4%1-110.6%1-24.9%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.7%2-19.9%2-24.6%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.6%3-16.1%3-22.8%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.7%4+-14.4%4+-22.0%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.3% — — —

Draw 22.6% — — —

Away win 21.1% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 32.7% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 55.4% — — —

Away O1.5 26.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 30%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 42%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.6%

H 56% / xG 1.9-0.9 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.6%

#2 2–0 10.7%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 11.4%

#5 0–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Calcutta Customs1.9

Railway0.9

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.7%

Form & verdict PPG

CALCUTTA CUSTOMS · PPG 1.75

RAILWAY · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.94 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Calcutta Customs (H) 56.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Railway (A) 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Calcutta Customs face Railway in India - Calcutta Premier Division on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Calcutta Customs a 56% chance, the draw 23% and Railway 21%, so Calcutta Customs are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Calcutta Customs and 0.9 for Railway (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Calcutta Customs are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.33 for Railway.

Calcutta Customs vs Railway Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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