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Mohammedan vs Calcutta Police Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Regular season ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 09:30

Mohammedan

PPG 2.33 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Calcutta Police

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.59 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.1%0-19.8%0-23.2%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-018.7%1-112.2%1-24.0%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.6%2-17.6%2-22.5%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.8%3-13.1%3-21.0%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-11.3%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.1% — — —

Draw 27.6% — — —

Away win 22.3% — — —

Over 2.5 43.2% — — —

Over 3.5 22.0% — — —

BTTS 48.4% — — —

Home O1.5 34.3% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.4%

H 50% / xG 1.2-0.7 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.1%

#2 1–0 18.7%

#3 1–1 12.2%

#4 2–0✓ 11.6%

#5 0–1 9.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mohammedan1.2

Calcutta Police0.7

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.2% · O3.5 PROB 22.0%

Form & verdict PPG

MOHAMMEDAN · PPG 2.33

CALCUTTA POLICE · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.59 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Mohammedan (H) 50.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Calcutta Police (A) 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Mohammedan face Calcutta Police in India - Calcutta Premier Division on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mohammedan a 50% chance, the draw 28% and Calcutta Police 22%, so Mohammedan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Mohammedan and 0.7 for Calcutta Police (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mohammedan are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 1.75 for Calcutta Police. This match finished 2-0.

Mohammedan vs Calcutta Police Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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