Today / India - Calcutta Premier Division / Calcutta Customs vs Kalighat

Calcutta Customs vs Kalighat Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Regular season ·Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 09:30

Calcutta Customs

PPG 1.64 · HOME

UPCOMING

Kalighat

PPG 0.31 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-14.5%0-22.5%0-31.0%0-4+0.4%1 1-08.2%1-19.4%1-25.3%1-32.0%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.6%2-19.8%2-25.6%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.0%3-16.9%3-23.9%3-31.5%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-05.2%4+-15.9%4+-23.4%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.4% — — —

Draw 22.5% — — —

Away win 22.1% — — —

Over 2.5 61.5% — — —

Over 3.5 38.7% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 59.8% — — —

Away O1.5 34.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 44%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.5%

H 55% / xG 2.1-1.1 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.6%

#4 3–1 6.9%

#5 1–0 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Calcutta Customs2.1

Kalighat1.1

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.5% · O3.5 PROB 38.7%

Form & verdict PPG

CALCUTTA CUSTOMS · PPG 1.64

KALIGHAT · PPG 0.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.96 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Calcutta Customs (H) 55.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kalighat (A) 22.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Calcutta Customs face Kalighat in India - Calcutta Premier Division on Tuesday, August 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Calcutta Customs a 55% chance, the draw 23% and Kalighat 22%, so Calcutta Customs are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Calcutta Customs and 1.1 for Kalighat (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Calcutta Customs are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 0.31 for Kalighat.

Calcutta Customs vs Kalighat Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More India - Calcutta Premier Division Predictions