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United vs Calcutta Police Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Regular season ·Wednesday, August 12, 2026, 09:30

United

PPG 1.34 · HOME

UPCOMING

Calcutta Police

PPG 1.12 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.7%0-110.8%0-24.3%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.4%1-113.0%1-25.1%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.8%2-17.8%2-23.1%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.9%3-13.1%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.2%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.2% — — —

Draw 27.9% — — —

Away win 27.9% — — —

Over 2.5 42.7% — — —

Over 3.5 21.1% — — —

BTTS 47.7% — — —

Home O1.5 31.7% — — —

Away O1.5 20.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.7%

H 44% / xG 1.2-0.8 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.7%

#2 1–1 13.0%

#3 1–0 16.4%

#4 2–0 9.8%

#5 0–1 10.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

United1.2

Calcutta Police0.8

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

UNITED · PPG 1.34

CALCUTTA POLICE · PPG 1.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.40, combined xG 1.99 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

United (H) 44.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Calcutta Police (A) 27.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

United face Calcutta Police in India - Calcutta Premier Division on Wednesday, August 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives United a 44% chance, the draw 28% and Calcutta Police 28%, so United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for United and 0.8 for Calcutta Police (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, United are averaging 1.34 points per game versus 1.12 for Calcutta Police.

United vs Calcutta Police Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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