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George Telegraph vs United Kolkata Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Regular season ·Thursday, August 13, 2026, 09:30

George Telegraph

PPG 0.92 · HOME

UPCOMING

United Kolkata

PPG 1.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -1.22 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-110.4%0-211.0%0-37.8%0-4+6.7%1 1-04.4%1-19.3%1-29.9%1-37.0%1-4+6.0%2 2-02.0%2-14.2%2-24.4%2-33.1%2-4+2.7%3 3-00.6%3-11.3%3-21.3%3-30.9%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.4%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.9% — — —

Draw 22.7% — — —

Away win 63.4% — — —

Over 2.5 54.8% — — —

Over 3.5 33.9% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 56.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob53.1%

A 63% / xG 0.9-2.1 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 11.0%

#2 1–1 9.3%

#3 1–2 9.9%

#4 0–1 10.4%

#5 0–3 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

George Telegraph0.9

United Kolkata2.1

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.8% · O3.5 PROB 33.9%

Form & verdict PPG

GEORGE TELEGRAPH · PPG 0.92

UNITED KOLKATA · PPG 1.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.22 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

George Telegraph (H) 13.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

United Kolkata (A) 63.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

George Telegraph face United Kolkata in India - Calcutta Premier Division on Thursday, August 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives George Telegraph a 14% chance, the draw 23% and United Kolkata 63%, so United Kolkata are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for George Telegraph and 2.1 for United Kolkata (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, George Telegraph are averaging 0.92 points per game versus 1.83 for United Kolkata.

George Telegraph vs United Kolkata Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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