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Wari vs Aryan Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Regular season ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 09:30

Wari logo
Wari
PPG 1.47 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
Aryan logo
Aryan
PPG 1.05 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.3%0-113.9%0-29.3%0-34.2%0-4+1.9%1 1-09.5%1-112.9%1-28.6%1-33.9%1-4+1.8%2 2-04.4%2-16.0%2-24.0%2-31.8%2-4+0.8%3 3-01.4%3-11.8%3-21.2%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 27.2%
Draw 28.3%
Away win 44.5%
Over 2.5 45.9%
Over 3.5 25.8%
BTTS 49.6%
Home O1.5 32.1%
Away O1.5 43.7%

League track record

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%
O2.5 56%
BTTS 72%
Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 26%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob49.6%

A 44% / xG 0.9-1.3 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%
#2 0–0 10.3%
#3 0–1 13.9%
#4 0–2 9.3%
#5 1–2 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wari0.9
Aryan1.3

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 25.8%

Form & verdict PPG

WARI · PPG 1.47

ARYAN · PPG 1.05

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...
45%
HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.42, combined xG 2.27 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Wari (H) 27.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 28.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Aryan (A) 44.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Wari face Aryan in India - Calcutta Premier Division on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wari a 27% chance, the draw 28% and Aryan 45%, so Aryan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Wari and 1.3 for Aryan (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wari are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 1.05 for Aryan. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

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