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NA Suruchi Sangha vs Police Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Regular season ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 09:30

NA Suruchi Sangha

PPG 1.70 · HOME

UPCOMING

Police

PPG 1.74 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.44, combined xG 2.38 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.2%0-113.1%0-29.2%0-34.3%0-4+2.1%1 1-09.0%1-112.6%1-28.9%1-34.2%1-4+2.0%2 2-04.3%2-16.1%2-24.3%2-32.0%2-4+1.0%3 3-01.4%3-12.0%3-21.4%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.6%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.7% — — —

Draw 27.0% — — —

Away win 42.3% — — —

Over 2.5 49.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 42.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 22%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob53.1%

A 42% / xG 1.0-1.4 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–1 13.1%

#3 0–0 9.2%

#4 0–2 9.2%

#5 1–2 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

NA Suruchi Sangha1.0

Police1.4

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

NA SURUCHI SANGHA · PPG 1.70

POLICE · PPG 1.74

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.44, combined xG 2.38 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

NA Suruchi Sangha (H) 30.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Police (A) 42.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

NA Suruchi Sangha face Police in India - Calcutta Premier Division on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives NA Suruchi Sangha a 31% chance, the draw 27% and Police 42%, so Police are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for NA Suruchi Sangha and 1.4 for Police (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, NA Suruchi Sangha are averaging 1.70 points per game versus 1.74 for Police.

NA Suruchi Sangha vs Police Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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