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Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura Sunday, April 19, 2026 19:00 
Danubio PPG 1.80 
D. Maldonado PPG 1.17
Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura Sunday, April 19, 2026 19:00 Danubio PPG 1.801-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
D. Maldonado PPG 1.17Over3.5· +61.6% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 58.3% Odds: 2.35 +37.0%
Over 3.5 35.9% Odds: 4.50 +61.6%
BTTS 60.8% Odds: 1.95 +18.6%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✔
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 1-2 ✘
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 0-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Danubio 1.56
D. Maldonado 1.47
Model Suggestion
BTTS +18.6% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+61.6%)
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+61.6%)
League Track Record ↗
Based on 28 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5/Under 54%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 46%
ROI -42.4%
Bet Hit 29% (7 bets)
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
MODERATE_HOME 75%
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.80) > Away AVERAGE (1.17)