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Kalighat vs Patha Chakra Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Regular season ·Thursday, August 6, 2026, 09:30

Kalighat

PPG 0.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Patha Chakra

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.01 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-18.3%0-25.9%0-32.8%0-4+1.4%1 1-08.3%1-111.8%1-28.4%1-34.0%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.9%2-18.3%2-25.9%2-32.8%2-4+1.4%3 3-02.8%3-13.9%3-22.8%3-31.3%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.9%4+-21.4%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.1% — — —

Draw 25.0% — — —

Away win 34.9% — — —

Over 2.5 56.9% — — —

Over 3.5 34.3% — — —

BTTS 59.9% — — —

Home O1.5 45.4% — — —

Away O1.5 43.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 30%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob59.9%

A 35% / xG 1.4-1.4 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 1–2 8.4%

#3 2–1 8.3%

#4 0–0 5.9%

#5 0–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kalighat1.4

Patha Chakra1.4

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.9% · O3.5 PROB 34.3%

Form & verdict PPG

KALIGHAT · PPG 0.33

PATHA CHAKRA · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.01 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Kalighat (H) 40.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Patha Chakra (A) 34.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kalighat face Patha Chakra in India - Calcutta Premier Division on Thursday, August 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kalighat a 40% chance, the draw 25% and Patha Chakra 35%, so Kalighat are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Kalighat and 1.4 for Patha Chakra (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kalighat are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 1.00 for Patha Chakra.

Kalighat vs Patha Chakra Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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