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United Kolkata vs Kidderpore Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Regular season ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 09:30

United Kolkata

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Kidderpore

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.8 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-111.1%0-210.3%0-36.4%0-4+4.6%1 1-05.7%1-110.6%1-29.9%1-36.1%1-4+4.4%2 2-02.7%2-15.1%2-24.7%2-32.9%2-4+2.1%3 3-00.9%3-11.6%3-21.5%3-30.9%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.5%4+-20.4%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.5% — — —

Draw 21.6% — — —

Away win 55.0% — — —

Over 2.5 60.4% — — —

Over 3.5 36.8% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 54.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 30%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 48%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob54.6%

A 55% / xG 1.0-1.9 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.6%

#2 0–2 10.3%

#3 1–2 9.9%

#4 0–1 11.1%

#5 0–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

United Kolkata1.0

Kidderpore1.9

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.4% · O3.5 PROB 36.8%

Form & verdict PPG

UNITED KOLKATA · PPG 1.00

KIDDERPORE · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.90 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

United Kolkata (H) 23.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kidderpore (A) 55.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

United Kolkata face Kidderpore in India - Calcutta Premier Division on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives United Kolkata a 24% chance, the draw 22% and Kidderpore 55%, so Kidderpore are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for United Kolkata and 1.9 for Kidderpore (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, United Kolkata are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.80 for Kidderpore.

United Kolkata vs Kidderpore Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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