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Measurers vs Peerless Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Regular season ·Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 09:30

Measurers

PPG 0.94 · HOME

UPCOMING

Peerless

PPG 1.58 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.0%0-113.4%0-28.1%0-33.3%0-4+1.3%1 1-010.9%1-113.3%1-28.1%1-33.3%1-4+1.3%2 2-05.4%2-16.6%2-24.0%2-31.6%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.8%3-12.2%3-21.3%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.0% 25.0% 4.00 +32.0%

Draw 29.0% 29.0% 3.45 +0.0%

Away win 38.0% 57.8% 1.73 -34.3%

Over 2.5 49.0% 57.1% 1.75 -14.2%

Over 3.5 28.8% 33.7% 2.97 -8.7%

BTTS 52.8% 57.1% 1.75 -7.6%

Home O1.5 32.1% 31.1% 3.22 +3.4%

Away O1.5 35.7% 54.6% 1.83 -34.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.8%

D 29% / xG 1.0-1.2 / U2.5 49% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 11.0%

#3 0–1 13.4%

#4 1–0 10.9%

#5 0–2 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Measurers1.0

Peerless1.2

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

MEASURERS · PPG 0.94

PEERLESS · PPG 1.58

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.22, combined xG 2.21 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Measurers (H) 33.0%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +32.0%

Draw 29.0%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV +0.0%

Peerless (A) 38.0%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -34.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Measurers face Peerless in India - Calcutta Premier Division on Tuesday, August 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Measurers a 33% chance, the draw 29% and Peerless 38%, so Peerless are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Measurers and 1.2 for Peerless (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Measurers are averaging 0.94 points per game versus 1.58 for Peerless. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +16.1%.

Measurers vs Peerless Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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