Paris SG vs Lyon Prediction & Tips

France - Ligue 1 Regular Season - 30 Parc des Princes· Paris Sunday, April 19, 2026 18:45

Paris SG PPG 2.62

1-2 MISS

Lyon PPG 1.33

Away· -0.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66% confidence

Home 70.5%

Odds: 1.30 EV: -8.3%

Draw 17.8%

Odds: 5.40 EV: -3.9%

Away 11.7%

Odds: 8.50 EV: -0.5%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Over 2.5 59.5% Odds: 1.45 -13.7%

Over 3.5 37.1% Odds: 2.10 -22.1%

BTTS 49.7% Odds: 1.70 -15.5%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 3-0 ✘

5th 1-1 ✘

Paris SG

2.27

Lyon

0.81

Model SuggestionHome -8.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -8.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5/Under 62%

BTTS/No 55%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -18.0%

Bet Hit 50% (16 bets)

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.62), Away AVERAGE (1.33) - Strong consensus