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Ferroviaria W vs Palmeiras W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Matchday 15 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 19:00

Ferroviaria W

PPG 2.43 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Palmeiras W

PPG 1.83 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.1%0-110.3%0-24.8%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.2%1-113.1%1-26.0%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.0%2-18.3%2-23.8%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.8%3-13.5%3-21.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.5%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.3% 29.9% 3.35 +55.1%

Draw 27.7% 30.3% 3.30 -5.1%

Away win 26.0% 50.0% 2.00 -28.8%

Over 2.5 45.9% 51.3% 1.95 -10.5%

Over 3.5 25.8% 29.0% 3.45 -6.6%

BTTS 49.5% 57.1% 1.75 -13.4%

Home O1.5 36.6% 33.3% 3.00 +9.8%

Away O1.5 26.3% 48.8% 2.05 -27.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 62 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 53%

ROI -52.9%

Bet Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.5%

H 46% / xG 1.3-0.9 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0✓ 11.1%

#3 1–0 14.2%

#4 2–0 9.0%

#5 0–1 10.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ferroviaria W1.3

Palmeiras W0.9

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 25.8%

Form & verdict PPG

FERROVIARIA W · PPG 2.43

PALMEIRAS W · PPG 1.83

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.35, combined xG 2.19 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Ferroviaria W (H) 46.3%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV +55.1%

Draw 27.7%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -5.1%

Palmeiras W (A) 26.0%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -28.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ferroviaria W face Palmeiras W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ferroviaria W a 46% chance, the draw 28% and Palmeiras W 26%, so Ferroviaria W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Ferroviaria W and 0.9 for Palmeiras W (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ferroviaria W are averaging 2.43 points per game versus 1.83 for Palmeiras W. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +33.6%. This match finished 0-0.

Ferroviaria W vs Palmeiras W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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