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Botafogo W vs Fluminense W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Saturday, August 8, 2026, 00:30

Botafogo W

PPG 0.83 · HOME

UPCOMING

Fluminense W

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.1%0-114.8%0-210.8%0-35.3%0-4+2.7%1 1-08.4%1-112.3%1-29.0%1-34.4%1-4+2.2%2 2-03.5%2-15.1%2-23.7%2-31.8%2-4+0.9%3 3-01.0%3-11.4%3-21.0%3-30.5%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.7% — — —

Draw 27.8% — — —

Away win 47.4% — — —

Over 2.5 46.1% — — —

Over 3.5 28.8% — — —

BTTS 49.6% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 43.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 62 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 53%

ROI -52.9%

Bet Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 27%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob49.6%

A 47% / xG 0.8-1.5 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 0–1 14.8%

#3 0–0 10.1%

#4 0–2 10.8%

#5 1–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Botafogo W0.8

Fluminense W1.5

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.1% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BOTAFOGO W · PPG 0.83

FLUMINENSE W · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.63 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Botafogo W (H) 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Fluminense W (A) 47.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Botafogo W face Fluminense W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Botafogo W a 25% chance, the draw 28% and Fluminense W 47%, so Fluminense W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Botafogo W and 1.5 for Fluminense W (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Botafogo W are averaging 0.83 points per game versus 1.14 for Fluminense W.

Botafogo W vs Fluminense W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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