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Atlético Bucaramanga W vs Once Caldas W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Matchday 16 ·Monday, August 10, 2026, 20:00

Atlético Bucaramanga W

PPG 1.43 · HOME

UPCOMING

Once Caldas W

PPG 0.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.00 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.9%0-16.3%0-22.2%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-015.3%1-110.8%1-23.8%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-013.1%2-19.2%2-23.3%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-07.4%3-15.3%3-21.9%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-04.7%4+-13.3%4+-21.2%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.3% — — —

Draw 23.9% — — —

Away win 21.7% — — —

Over 2.5 49.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 49.2% — — —

Away O1.5 17.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 26%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob49.2%

H 54% / xG 1.7-0.7 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 15.3%

#2 2–0 13.1%

#3 1–1 10.8%

#4 0–0 8.9%

#5 2–1 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Atlético Bucaramanga W1.7

Once Caldas W0.7

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ATLÉTICO BUCARAMANGA W · PPG 1.43

ONCE CALDAS W · PPG 0.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.00 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Atlético Bucaramanga W (H) 54.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Once Caldas W (A) 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Atlético Bucaramanga W face Once Caldas W in Colombia - Liga Femenina on Monday, August 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atlético Bucaramanga W a 54% chance, the draw 24% and Once Caldas W 22%, so Atlético Bucaramanga W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Atlético Bucaramanga W and 0.7 for Once Caldas W (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atlético Bucaramanga W are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 0.29 for Once Caldas W.

Atlético Bucaramanga W vs Once Caldas W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Match Preview & Prediction

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