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Junior W vs Atlético Bucaramanga W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Matchday 15 ·Monday, August 3, 2026, 21:00

Junior W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Atlético Bucaramanga W

PPG 0.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.39 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-14.3%0-21.5%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-012.5%1-19.0%1-23.2%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-013.2%2-19.4%2-23.4%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.3%3-16.6%3-22.4%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-08.0%4+-15.7%4+-22.0%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 62.6% — — —

Draw 21.1% — — —

Away win 16.3% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.2% — — —

BTTS 48.7% — — —

Home O1.5 60.1% — — —

Away O1.5 20.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 43%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.7%

H 63% / xG 2.1-0.7 / O2.5 53% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.2%

#2 1–0 12.5%

#3 1–1 9.0%

#4 2–1 9.4%

#5 3–0 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Junior W2.1

Atlético Bucaramanga W0.7

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

JUNIOR W · PPG 1.00

ATLÉTICO BUCARAMANGA W · PPG 0.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.39 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Junior W (H) 62.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Atlético Bucaramanga W (A) 16.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Junior W face Atlético Bucaramanga W in Colombia - Liga Femenina on Monday, August 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Junior W a 63% chance, the draw 21% and Atlético Bucaramanga W 16%, so Junior W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Junior W and 0.7 for Atlético Bucaramanga W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Junior W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.14 for Atlético Bucaramanga W.

Junior W vs Atlético Bucaramanga W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Match Preview & Prediction

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