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América de Cali W vs Llaneros W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Matchday 15 ·Monday, August 3, 2026, 01:15

América de Cali W

PPG 2.14 · HOME

UPCOMING

Llaneros W

PPG 0.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 74.8% vs bookmaker-implied 90.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.6%0-11.9%0-20.3%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-016.1%1-14.5%1-20.6%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-019.6%2-15.5%2-20.8%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-015.9%3-14.5%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-017.2%4+-14.8%4+-20.7%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 74.8% 90.1% 1.11 -17.0%

Draw 16.9% 16.7% 6.00 +0.8%

Away win 8.3% 3.4% 29.00 +84.4%

Over 2.5 53.4% 63.7% 1.57 -16.2%

Over 3.5 32.2% 41.7% 2.40 -22.7%

BTTS 44.5% 30.8% 3.25 +44.6%

Home O1.5 60.1% 82.0% 1.22 -26.7%

Away O1.5 11.1% 15.6% 6.40 -17.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 55%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.3 BTTS prob44.5%

H 75% / xG 2.4-0.3 / O2.5 53% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 19.6%

#2 3–0 15.9%

#3 1–0 16.1%

#4 4–0 9.7%

#5 0–0 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

América de Cali W2.4

Llaneros W0.3

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

AMÉRICA DE CALI W · PPG 2.14

LLANEROS W · PPG 0.43

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.15 for Home, form 2.14 vs 0.43 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

América de Cali W (H) 74.8%

ODDS 1.11 · IMPLIED 90.1% EV -17.0%

Draw 16.9%

ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV +0.8%

Llaneros W (A) 8.3%

ODDS 29.00 · IMPLIED 3.4% EV +84.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

América de Cali W face Llaneros W in Colombia - Liga Femenina on Monday, August 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives América de Cali W a 75% chance, the draw 17% and Llaneros W 8%, so América de Cali W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for América de Cali W and 0.3 for Llaneros W (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, América de Cali W are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 0.43 for Llaneros W. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +138.2%.

América de Cali W vs Llaneros W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Match Preview & Prediction

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