Today / Romania - Liga I / CFR 1907 Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj
CFR 1907 Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj Prediction— Romania - Liga I
Monday, August 10, 2026, 18:30
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 2.8 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 55.1% vs bookmaker-implied 45.5% — a clear edge.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 53% / xG 1.8-1.0 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 55%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.1% · O3.5 PROB 32.7%
Form & verdict
CFR 1907 CLUJ · PPG 2.09
UNIVERSITATEA CLUJ · PPG 1.22
xG gap +0.78 - moderate Home edge
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
CFR 1907 Cluj face Universitatea Cluj in Romania - Liga I on Monday, August 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives CFR 1907 Cluj a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Universitatea Cluj 23%, so CFR 1907 Cluj are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for CFR 1907 Cluj and 1.0 for Universitatea Cluj (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, CFR 1907 Cluj are averaging 2.09 points per game versus 1.22 for Universitatea Cluj. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +46.4%.