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Rapid vs CFR 1907 Cluj Prediction— Romania - Liga I

Regular Season - 3 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 18:30

Rapid logo
Rapid
PPG 1.95 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
CFR 1907 Cluj logo
CFR 1907 Cluj
PPG 1.12 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.4%0-18.9%0-24.7%0-31.7%0-4+0.6%1 1-011.9%1-112.6%1-26.7%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.4%2-18.9%2-24.7%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-04.0%3-14.2%3-22.2%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.0%4+-21.1%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 45.4% 50.5% 1.98 -10.1%
Draw 28.9% 29.9% 3.35 -1.9%
Away win 25.7% 28.6% 3.50 -6.0%
Over 2.5 45.7% 50.0% 2.00 -8.6%
Over 3.5 28.9% 29.0% 3.45 -0.2%
BTTS 49.2% 56.5% 1.77 -12.9%
Home O1.5 45.4% 47.6% 2.10 -4.7%
Away O1.5 36.3% 32.3% 3.10 +12.5%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 20%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob49.2%

H 45% / xG 1.4-1.1 / O2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%
#2 0–0 8.4%
#3 1–0 11.9%
#4 2–1 8.9%
#5 2–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rapid1.4
CFR 1907 Cluj1.1

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.7% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

RAPID · PPG 1.95

CFR 1907 CLUJ · PPG 1.12

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value
65%
HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.35, combined xG 2.47 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Rapid (H) 45.4%
ODDS 1.98 · IMPLIED 50.5% EV -10.1%
Draw 28.9%
ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -1.9%
CFR 1907 Cluj (A) 25.7%
ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -6.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rapid face CFR 1907 Cluj in Romania - Liga I on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rapid a 45% chance, the draw 29% and CFR 1907 Cluj 26%, so Rapid are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Rapid and 1.1 for CFR 1907 Cluj (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rapid are averaging 1.95 points per game versus 1.12 for CFR 1907 Cluj. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +12.5%.

PredictVantage

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