Today / Romania - Liga I / Farul Constanta vs Csikszereda

Farul Constanta vs Csikszereda Prediction— Romania - Liga I

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 15:30

Farul Constanta

PPG 1.84 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Csikszereda

PPG 0.61 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 71.2% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7% — a real, if thin, edge.

+6.8% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-13.3%0-20.9%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-013.5%1-17.5%1-22.1%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-015.2%2-18.5%2-22.4%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.5%3-16.4%3-21.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-011.1%4+-16.2%4+-21.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 71.2% 66.7% 1.50 +6.8%

Draw 19.9% 23.8% 4.20 -9.8%

Away win 8.9% 18.5% 5.40 -31.2%

Over 2.5 53.5% 58.8% 1.70 -9.0%

Over 3.5 32.8% 35.7% 2.80 -8.2%

BTTS 48.4% 56.5% 1.77 -14.3%

Home O1.5 62.4% 63.7% 1.57 -2.0%

Away O1.5 17.4% 26.3% 3.80 -20.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.4%

H 71% / xG 2.3-0.6 / O2.5 54% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 15.2%

#2 1–0 13.5%

#3 3–0 11.5%

#4 1–1 7.5%

#5 2–1 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Farul Constanta2.3

Csikszereda0.6

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.8%

Form & verdict PPG

FARUL CONSTANTA · PPG 1.84

CSIKSZEREDA · PPG 0.61

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

98%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.71 for Home, form 1.84 vs 0.61 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Farul Constanta (H) 71.2%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV +6.8%

Draw 19.9%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -9.8%

Csikszereda (A) 8.9%

ODDS 5.40 · IMPLIED 18.5% EV -31.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Farul Constanta face Csikszereda in Romania - Liga I on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Farul Constanta a 71% chance, the draw 20% and Csikszereda 9%, so Farul Constanta are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Farul Constanta and 0.6 for Csikszereda (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Farul Constanta are averaging 1.84 points per game versus 0.61 for Csikszereda. This match finished 3-2.

Farul Constanta vs Csikszereda Prediction— Romania - Liga I

Match Preview & Prediction

More Romania - Liga I Predictions