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Universitatea Cluj vs FC Botosani Prediction— Romania - Liga I

Matchday 3 ·Monday, August 3, 2026, 15:30

Universitatea Cluj

PPG 2.09 · HOME

UPCOMING

FC Botosani

PPG 1.06 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.6% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.1%0-16.6%0-23.0%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-012.2%1-111.3%1-25.2%1-31.6%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.5%2-19.7%2-24.5%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.0%3-15.6%3-22.6%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.8%4+-13.5%4+-21.6%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.1% 53.2% 1.88 -3.9%

Draw 25.9% 29.4% 3.40 -7.2%

Away win 23.0% 26.0% 3.85 -6.9%

Over 2.5 50.4% 50.0% 2.00 +0.8%

Over 3.5 28.9% 28.6% 3.50 +0.7%

BTTS 51.6% 55.6% 1.80 -7.1%

Home O1.5 49.4% 50.0% 2.00 -1.2%

Away O1.5 26.2% 29.9% 3.35 -7.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 100%

Score Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob51.6%

H 51% / xG 1.7-0.9 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 1–0 12.2%

#3 2–0 10.5%

#4 2–1 9.7%

#5 0–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Universitatea Cluj1.7

FC Botosani0.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

UNIVERSITATEA CLUJ · PPG 2.09

FC BOTOSANI · PPG 1.06

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.80 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Universitatea Cluj (H) 51.1%

ODDS 1.88 · IMPLIED 53.2% EV -3.9%

Draw 25.9%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -7.2%

FC Botosani (A) 23.0%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -6.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Universitatea Cluj face FC Botosani in Romania - Liga I on Monday, August 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Universitatea Cluj a 51% chance, the draw 26% and FC Botosani 23%, so Universitatea Cluj are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Universitatea Cluj and 0.9 for FC Botosani (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Universitatea Cluj are averaging 2.09 points per game versus 1.06 for FC Botosani. The best value bet our model finds is BTTS/O25, with an expected value of +8.5%.

Universitatea Cluj vs FC Botosani Prediction— Romania - Liga I

Match Preview & Prediction

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