Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 / Oppsal vs Sarpsborg 08 II

Oppsal vs Sarpsborg 08 II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Matchday 14 ·Monday, August 3, 2026, 16:00

Oppsal

PPG 1.71 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sarpsborg 08 II

PPG 0.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-12.7%0-21.3%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-07.3%1-17.1%1-23.5%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.4%2-19.2%2-24.5%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.2%3-18.0%3-23.9%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-010.0%4+-19.7%4+-24.8%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.1% — — —

Draw 17.0% — — —

Away win 18.9% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 44.8% — — —

BTTS 62.1% — — —

Home O1.5 64.0% — — —

Away O1.5 28.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -22.2%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 68%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob62.1%

H 64% / xG 2.6-1.0 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 9.4%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 3–0 8.2%

#4 1–1 7.1%

#5 3–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Oppsal2.6

Sarpsborg 08 II1.0

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%

Form & verdict PPG

OPPSAL · PPG 1.71

SARPSBORG 08 II · PPG 0.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.63 for Home, form 1.71 vs 0.29 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Oppsal (H) 64.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sarpsborg 08 II (A) 18.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Oppsal face Sarpsborg 08 II in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Monday, August 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Oppsal a 64% chance, the draw 17% and Sarpsborg 08 II 19%, so Oppsal are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Oppsal and 1.0 for Sarpsborg 08 II (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Oppsal are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 0.29 for Sarpsborg 08 II.

Oppsal vs Sarpsborg 08 II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

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