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Brumunddal vs Lyn II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Matchday 14 ·Monday, August 3, 2026, 16:00

Brumunddal

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Lyn II

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-12.8%0-24.1%0-33.9%0-4+5.6%1 1-01.7%1-15.0%1-27.1%1-36.8%1-4+9.8%2 2-01.5%2-14.3%2-26.2%2-35.9%2-4+8.6%3 3-00.9%3-12.5%3-23.6%3-33.5%3-4+5.0%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.6%4+-22.4%4+-32.2%4+-4+3.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.1% — — —

Draw 17.5% — — —

Away win 58.3% — — —

Over 2.5 74.5% — — —

Over 3.5 54.0% — — —

BTTS 70.3% — — —

Home O1.5 49.4% — — —

Away O1.5 70.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -22.2%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 69%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)2.9 BTTS prob70.3%

A 58% / xG 1.7-2.9 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.1%

#2 1–3 6.8%

#3 2–2 6.2%

#4 2–3 5.9%

#5 1–1 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brumunddal1.7

Lyn II2.9

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 74.5% · O3.5 PROB 54.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BRUMUNDDAL · PPG 1.00

LYN II · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.12 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Brumunddal (H) 24.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lyn II (A) 58.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Brumunddal face Lyn II in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Monday, August 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brumunddal a 24% chance, the draw 18% and Lyn II 58%, so Lyn II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Brumunddal and 2.9 for Lyn II (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brumunddal are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.50 for Lyn II.

Brumunddal vs Lyn II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

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