Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 / Fram vs Elverum

Fram vs Elverum Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 13:00

Fram

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Elverum

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-16.9%0-26.4%0-33.9%0-4+2.8%1 1-05.4%1-19.9%1-29.2%1-35.7%1-4+4.0%2 2-03.9%2-17.1%2-26.6%2-34.1%2-4+2.9%3 3-01.8%3-13.4%3-23.2%3-31.9%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.7%4+-21.6%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.0% — — —

Draw 22.8% — — —

Away win 41.2% — — —

Over 2.5 63.6% — — —

Over 3.5 40.2% — — —

BTTS 62.1% — — —

Home O1.5 45.4% — — —

Away O1.5 50.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -22.2%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 44%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob62.1%

A 41% / xG 1.4-1.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.9%

#2 1–2 9.2%

#3 2–1 7.1%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 0–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fram1.4

Elverum1.8

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 40.2%

Form & verdict PPG

FRAM · PPG 1.00

ELVERUM · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.41 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Fram (H) 36.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Elverum (A) 41.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fram face Elverum in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fram a 36% chance, the draw 23% and Elverum 41%, so Elverum are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Fram and 1.8 for Elverum (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fram are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.17 for Elverum.

Fram vs Elverum Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 Predictions