Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 / Flekkerøy vs Haugesund II

Flekkerøy vs Haugesund II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 11:00

Flekkerøy

PPG 3.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Haugesund II

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.6%0-10.9%0-20.7%0-30.3%0-4+0.2%1 1-02.2%1-13.2%1-22.4%1-31.2%1-4+0.6%2 2-03.9%2-15.8%2-24.3%2-32.2%2-4+1.1%3 3-04.8%3-17.1%3-25.3%3-32.6%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-011.2%4+-116.6%4+-212.3%4+-36.1%4+-4+3.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.7% — — —

Draw 16.8% — — —

Away win 18.6% — — —

Over 2.5 80.6% — — —

Over 3.5 60.1% — — —

BTTS 70.3% — — —

Home O1.5 77.1% — — —

Away O1.5 47.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 77%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.6 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob70.3%

H 65% / xG 3.6-1.5 / O2.5 81% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.1%

#2 4–1 6.5%

#3 2–1 5.8%

#4 3–2 5.3%

#5 4–2 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Flekkerøy3.6

Haugesund II1.5

COMBINED 5.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.6% · O3.5 PROB 60.1%

Form & verdict PPG

FLEKKERØY · PPG 3.00

HAUGESUND II · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.16 for Home, form 3.00 vs 1.14 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Flekkerøy (H) 64.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Haugesund II (A) 18.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Flekkerøy face Haugesund II in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Flekkerøy a 65% chance, the draw 17% and Haugesund II 19%, so Flekkerøy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.6 for Flekkerøy and 1.5 for Haugesund II (5.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Flekkerøy are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.14 for Haugesund II.

Flekkerøy vs Haugesund II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 Predictions