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Trujillanos FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC Prediction— Venezuela - Primera División

Clausura · Matchday 3 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 20:00

Trujillanos FC

PPG 0.75 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

Deportivo Tachira FC

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.7%0-116.5%0-211.7%0-35.5%0-4+2.7%1 1-08.5%1-112.1%1-28.6%1-34.0%1-4+2.0%2 2-03.1%2-14.4%2-23.1%2-31.5%2-4+0.7%3 3-00.8%3-11.1%3-20.8%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.2% 20.8% 4.80 +12.6%

Draw 28.4% 29.9% 3.35 -2.9%

Away win 46.4% 58.8% 1.70 -21.1%

Over 2.5 44.2% 44.4% 2.25 -0.5%

Over 3.5 22.8% 23.8% 4.20 -2.5%

BTTS 48.4% 47.6% 2.10 +1.6%

Home O1.5 32.1% 22.2% 4.50 +44.5%

Away O1.5 43.7% 50.0% 2.00 -12.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 37%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -9.8%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob48.4%

A 46% / xG 0.7-1.4 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 16.5%

#2 1–1 12.1%

#3 0–0 11.7%

#4 0–2 11.7%

#5 1–2 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Trujillanos FC0.7

Deportivo Tachira FC1.4

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.2% · O3.5 PROB 22.8%

Form & verdict PPG

TRUJILLANOS FC · PPG 0.75

DEPORTIVO TACHIRA FC · PPG 1.67

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.68 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Trujillanos FC (H) 25.2%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +12.6%

Draw 28.4%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -2.9%

Deportivo Tachira FC (A) 46.4%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -21.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Trujillanos FC face Deportivo Tachira FC in Venezuela - Primera División on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Trujillanos FC a 25% chance, the draw 28% and Deportivo Tachira FC 46%, so Deportivo Tachira FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Trujillanos FC and 1.4 for Deportivo Tachira FC (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Trujillanos FC are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 1.67 for Deportivo Tachira FC. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +44.5%. This match finished 1-3.

Trujillanos FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC Prediction— Venezuela - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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