Today / Wehen Wiesbaden vs Mannheim

Wehen Wiesbaden vs Mannheim Prediction

Sunday, April 19, 2026

Wehen Wiesbaden

PPG 1.94 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Mannheim

PPG 1.06 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-14.7%0-23.3%0-31.5%0-4+0.7%1 1-06.6%1-19.3%1-26.6%1-33.1%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.6%2-19.3%2-26.6%2-33.1%2-4+1.5%3 3-04.4%3-16.2%3-24.4%3-32.1%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-14.9%4+-23.5%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.3% — — —

Draw 21.7% — — —

Away win 27.0% — — —

Over 2.5 66.1% — — —

Over 3.5 44.3% — — —

BTTS 65.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob65.3%

H 51% / xG 2.0-1.4 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 65%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–0 6.6%

#4 2–0 6.6%

#5 1–2 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wehen Wiesbaden2.0

Mannheim1.4

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.1% · O3.5 PROB 44.3%

Form & verdict PPG

WEHEN WIESBADEN · PPG 1.94

MANNHEIM · PPG 1.06

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.94) vs P(Home)=51.3%

Win probability 1X2

Wehen Wiesbaden (H) 51.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Mannheim (A) 27.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Wehen Wiesbaden face Mannheim on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wehen Wiesbaden a 51% chance, the draw 22% and Mannheim 27%, so Wehen Wiesbaden are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Wehen Wiesbaden and 1.4 for Mannheim (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wehen Wiesbaden are averaging 1.94 points per game versus 1.06 for Mannheim. This match finished 3-3.

Wehen Wiesbaden vs Mannheim Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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