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Soroksar vs Budafoki Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Regular Season - 26 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 17:00

Soroksar

PPG 1.25 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Budafoki

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-14.5%0-22.5%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-08.5%1-19.4%1-25.2%1-31.9%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.0%2-19.9%2-25.4%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-06.3%3-16.9%3-23.8%3-31.4%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-05.4%4+-15.9%4+-23.3%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.2% 47.6% 2.10 +26.4%

Draw 20.6% 32.3% 3.10 -36.1%

Away win 19.2% 33.3% 3.00 -42.4%

Over 2.5 62.0% — — —

Over 3.5 39.8% — — —

BTTS 58.6% 58.8% 1.70 -0.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -29.1%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob58.6%

H 60% / xG 2.1-1.1 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1✓ 9.9%

#2 1–1 9.4%

#3 2–0 9.0%

#4 1–0 8.5%

#5 3–1 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Soroksar2.1

Budafoki1.1

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.0% · O3.5 PROB 39.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SOROKSAR · PPG 1.25

BUDAFOKI · PPG 0.75

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.25) > Away POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

Soroksar (H) 60.2%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV +26.4%

Draw 20.6%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -36.1%

Budafoki (A) 19.2%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -42.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Soroksar face Budafoki in Hungary - NB II on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Soroksar a 60% chance, the draw 21% and Budafoki 19%, so Soroksar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Soroksar and 1.1 for Budafoki (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Soroksar are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.75 for Budafoki. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +26.4%. This match finished 2-1.

Soroksar vs Budafoki Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

More Hungary - NB II Predictions