Today / Peru - Liga Women / UNSAAC W vs Killas W

UNSAAC W vs Killas W Prediction— Peru - Liga Women

Clausura - 2 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 18:00

UNSAAC W logo
UNSAAC W
PPG 1.25 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Killas W logo
Killas W
PPG 0.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.54 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-16.3%0-23.8%0-31.5%0-4+0.6%1 1-09.2%1-111.0%1-26.6%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.0%2-19.6%2-25.8%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-04.6%3-15.6%3-23.3%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-13.6%4+-22.2%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 48.8%
Draw 23.7%
Away win 27.5%
Over 2.5 61.2%
Over 3.5 39.2%
BTTS 62.1%
Home O1.5 49.4%
Away O1.5 36.5%

League track record

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 75%
O2.5 75%
BTTS 25%
Score Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob62.1%

H 49% / xG 1.7-1.2 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%
#2 2–1 9.6%
#3 2–0 8.0%
#4 1–0 9.2%
#5 0–0 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

UNSAAC W1.7
Killas W1.2

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 39.2%

Form & verdict PPG

UNSAAC W · PPG 1.25

KILLAS W · PPG 0.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.54 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

UNSAAC W (H) 48.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Killas W (A) 27.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

UNSAAC W face Killas W in Peru - Liga Women on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives UNSAAC W a 49% chance, the draw 24% and Killas W 28%, so UNSAAC W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for UNSAAC W and 1.2 for Killas W (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, UNSAAC W are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.60 for Killas W.

PredictVantage

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