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Killas W vs Carlos Mannucci W Prediction— Peru - Liga Women

Clausura · Matchday 3 ·Wednesday, August 5, 2026, 15:00

Killas W

PPG 0.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Carlos Mannucci W

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +3.86 for Home, form 0.33 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-10.4%0-20.1%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-02.4%1-11.7%1-20.6%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-05.4%2-13.8%2-21.3%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-08.2%3-15.7%3-22.0%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-033.2%4+-123.2%4+-28.1%4+-31.9%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 82.3% — — —

Draw 10.0% — — —

Away win 7.7% — — —

Over 2.5 80.9% — — —

Over 3.5 63.5% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 78.3% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 13%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 76%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)4.6 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob54.6%

H 82% / xG 4.6-0.7 / O2.5 81% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–0 9.4%

#2 5–0 8.5%

#3 3–0 8.2%

#4 4–1 6.5%

#5 5–1 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Killas W4.6

Carlos Mannucci W0.7

COMBINED 5.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.9% · O3.5 PROB 63.5%

Form & verdict PPG

KILLAS W · PPG 0.33

CARLOS MANNUCCI W · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +3.86 for Home, form 0.33 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Killas W (H) 82.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 10.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Carlos Mannucci W (A) 7.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Killas W face Carlos Mannucci W in Peru - Liga Women on Wednesday, August 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Killas W a 82% chance, the draw 10% and Carlos Mannucci W 8%, so Killas W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.6 for Killas W and 0.7 for Carlos Mannucci W (5.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-0. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Killas W are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 0.00 for Carlos Mannucci W.

Killas W vs Carlos Mannucci W Prediction— Peru - Liga Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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