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Bekescsaba vs Szentlorinc Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Regular Season - 26 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 17:00

Bekescsaba

PPG 1.08 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Szentlorinc

PPG 0.58 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 50.5% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.1%0-18.9%0-24.9%0-31.8%0-4+0.6%1 1-011.4%1-112.6%1-26.9%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.1%2-18.9%2-24.9%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.8%3-14.2%3-22.3%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.0%4+-21.1%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.2% 46.5% 2.15 -5.0%

Draw 26.5% 34.5% 2.90 -23.2%

Away win 29.3% 32.3% 3.10 -9.2%

Over 2.5 46.0% — — —

Over 3.5 24.5% — — —

BTTS 50.5% 57.8% 1.73 -12.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -29.1%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 20%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob50.5%

H 44% / xG 1.4-1.1 / O2.5 46% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 1–0 11.4%

#3 0–1 8.9%

#4 2–1 8.9%

#5 0–0✓ 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bekescsaba1.4

Szentlorinc1.1

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.0% · O3.5 PROB 24.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BEKESCSABA · PPG 1.08

SZENTLORINC · PPG 0.58

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.08) > Away POOR (0.58)

Win probability 1X2

Bekescsaba (H) 44.2%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -5.0%

Draw 26.5%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -23.2%

Szentlorinc (A) 29.3%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -9.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bekescsaba face Szentlorinc in Hungary - NB II on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bekescsaba a 44% chance, the draw 27% and Szentlorinc 29%, so Bekescsaba are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Bekescsaba and 1.1 for Szentlorinc (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bekescsaba are averaging 1.08 points per game versus 0.58 for Szentlorinc. This match finished 0-0.

Bekescsaba vs Szentlorinc Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

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